Leaders of several African countries are calling on the West to
intervene in Libya in order to stop instability from spreading across
the Sahel and threatening fragile governments in the region.
Some African leaders called
on NATO to help stop the flow of weapons to armed groups in the region.
The call ignores the fact that the armed groups receiving weapons
include CIA-linked General Khalifa Haftar's militia which are now
integrated with the Libyan National Army(LNA). This is no longer a fight
between two umbrella groups of militia but of the Tobruk
internationally recognized government and a host of anti-government
militias including some radical Islamist militia.
Ibrahim Keita, president of Mali, said that unless the problem was
resolved in southern Libya there would be no peace in the region.
It is
fair to say that the problem in southern Libya has never been resolved
since the overthrow of Gadaffi. There is no reason to expect it will be
solved soon. Establishing an anti-Islamist government with General
Haftar as head of the armed forces is likely to make the situation
worse, even if he is able to subdue some of the tribes in the south. As
at the overthrow of Gadaffi, militants will simply migrate from Libya to
surrounding countries making the situation even worse for neighbors.
Mali's difficulties in the north will remain until the government
provides the area with a degree of autonomy.
Chadian President Idriss Deby told the security forum being held in Dakar, Senegal:
"The
solution to the crisis that is shaking this country is not in African
hands, but in the hands of the West, notably NATO.Now Libya is fertile
ground for terrorism and all sorts of criminals"
I expect that this
fondness for NATO intervention shows that Chad's present government
needs support from NATO because it is still kept in power by western
interests. Deby said that the West had an obligation to finish what it
started. However what it started was the overthrow of the Gadaffi regime
for various reasons, including a chance to obtain better contracts for
oil and install a regime even more amenable to control by western
capital. It was Gadaffi who claimed that he was fighting terrorists. Now
that some of those same radical Islamists threaten the
western-supported Tobruk government, and its anti-Islamist leader of the
armed forces Haftar, all of a sudden there is a terrorist threat to the
region.
The radical Islamists were some of the fiercest opponents and fighters
against Gadaffi since he had long imprisoned, tortured, and oppressed
many of them. One radical Islamist jihadist leader was
Abdelhakim Belhadj:
Belhadj was arrested with his pregnant wife in 2004 at Kuala
Lumpur International Airport, Malaysia.[8] Transferred on the same plane
to Bangkok, he was then placed in the custody of the CIA, where he was
retained at a secret prison at the airport.[4][8] Returned to Libya on
the rendition aircraft N313P,[11] he was held at the Abu Salim prison
for seven years.
While Libya, Syria, and Egypt were all roundly
criticized by the west for their human rights records, they were at the
same time chosen by the CIA as destinations for the rendition of terror
suspects, as proper places for interrogation and torture. Having done
their job of overthrowing Gadaffi, these Islamists were supposed to
disappear back into the woodwork just as were the jihadists who drove
the troops of the USSR Evil Empire out of Afghanistan.
President Macky Sall of Senegal said that the West needed to provide
more support for the armed forces in the region who were poorly
equipped. The French Defense Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian said that
problems in southern Libya depended upon a solution to Libyan's
political crisis. France already has 3,200 troops in the Sahel region.
Back on Sept. 9th, France had called for western intervention in Libya
to counter the terrorist threat. Later on the 18th, a
number of countries met and rejected foreign intervention:
Libya's
struggling elected government and representatives of 15 neighbouring
nations have unanimously rejected the idea of military intervention as a
way to restore stability in the oil-rich North African nation, which
some say is on the brink of civil war.
Now the pendulum is moving
back towards intervention.
No doubt western countries are anxious that
Libyan neighbors, or at least some of them, initiate this request as it
will give any intervention a patina of legitimacy. There is already
evidence of intervention by
Egypt and the
UAE among others on the side of General Haftar.
The reaction of the United Nations Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL)
continues to be optimistic. The UNSMIL issued a statement saying in
part:
“The move by the parties to identify their respective
delegations to the talks is a step in the right direction. In agreeing
to take part in this dialogue, all the parties have clearly signaled
their determination to spare no effort towards safeguarding Libya’s
political transition and forging ahead with building a modern democratic
state based on the rule of law and respect for human rights.”
The statement claims that this move shows that all parties are
committed to finding a peaceful political solution to the present
military and political crisis in Libya. The Mission will continue
consulting with the parties in order to finalize details such as the
place and time of the next meeting.
Earlier talks in Ghadames in
September achieved nothing. There is no reason to believe that these
will be any more successful. The Tripoli government insists that its
legitimacy must be recognized as a condition of dialogue. Prime minister
Al-Thinni of
the Tobruk government goes even further and demands that it be
recognized as the sole legitimate government and that the Tripoli
government in effect surrender:
Thinni laid down new conditions for
talks with the rival government, asking the Tripoli administration to
recognize the elected parliament first, the website said. Armed groups
such as Dawn also had to withdraw from the capital.
The statement did recognize the obvious fact that there are ongoing
battles between the government forces led by Khalifa Haftar and
anti-government militias including battles for oil ports in the east.
The statement said that the Mission was deeply alarmed by the escalation
in fighting which it claims undermines the efforts to convene the
dialogue. The dialogue has already
been postponed from last week. The statement said:
“All
parties should desist from any action that obstructs the dialogue
efforts and endangers the country’s economic lifeline. Libyan oil is a
strategic asset that belongs to all the Libyan people, who deserve an
opportunity for stability and prosperity.”
Of course the statement
fails to mention that these facilities are now guarded by the same
militia and former rebels who had seized the ports and kept them out of
production earlier for almost a year. They are now allied with the
Tobruk government so everything is fine.
The statement also says that "those threatening Libya's peace,
stability, or security, could be subject to sanctions". This does not
mean that the Tobruk government or General Haftar will be subject to
sanctions. If anyone is sanctioned it could be those leading some of the
anti-government militia or representatives of the Tripoli government.
The UNSMIL statement made no mention of the Libyan Supreme Court
decision that the June elections were unconstitutional and the Tobruk
government should be dissolved. No doubt they are still studying the
decision since it was made on November 6. The international community
and the press, for the most part, also conveniently ignore the ruling,
although even Voice of America reported briefly on the event when it
happened.