Abdullah Abdullah was the leader in the first Afghan
vote but in the runoff he trailed his closest opponent Ashraf Ghani.
However, Abdullah claimed
that there was massive fraud in the runoff vote. A deal brokered by US
Secretary of State John Kerry involved an audit of all the 8 million
votes cast in the second round monitored by the UN. Abdullah pulled out
of the audit after demands he made went unmet. Ashraf was then asked to
withdraw his auditors as well and did so. The audit then continued.
Talks on a national unity government broke down but
perhaps they will restart again. Funding of Afghanistan and
continuation of a training and advising mission in 2015 were discussed
at the recent NATO summit but there was no new Afghan president at the
meeting since who that will be has not yet been determined.
Ashraf Ghani
may very well win when the audit finishes. It is not clear if the
losing candidate will accept the results and the nature of any national
unity government is not yet agreed upon.
In a message read in Kabul the two candidates said:
"We believe in an inclusive political vision. We will form a government of national unity and will honor the participation of our people in the election process."
There are still 44,000 troops in
Afghanistan as part of the NATO-led International Security Assistance
Force. Once a joint security agreement is signed a smaller force of
about 12,000 will remain mainly in a training and advisory role.
However, if a new president is not installed within a month or so, there
may not be time to arrange for any troops to stay according to NATO
officials.
The recent NATO meeting renewed a commitment to support Afghan forces
until 1917. Afghanistan is very much dependent on foreign aid to pay
for its army and police who now number 350,000.
US aid in 2012 went mainly to support the military:
The bulk of the $12.9 billion in aid to Afghanistan—$9.95 billion—went towards spending on military and security assistance to arm and train Afghan military and police forces.Afghan aid often ends up in the pockets of corrupt politicians and often does not achieve the goals intended.
This article points out numerous problems with US aid programs:
In a recent quarterly report, the US special inspector general for Afghanistan reconstruction said that, when security for aid workers is figured in, the total amount of nonmilitary funds Washington has appropriated since 2002 “is approximately $100 billion”—more than the US has ever spent to rebuild a country. That estimate came out in July. Since then, Congress has appropriated another $16.5 billion for “reconstruction.” And all of that has not bought the United States or the Afghans a single sustainable institution or program.Nevertheless the Afghan Strategic Partnership Agreement commits the US to funding "to support Afghanistan's social and economic development, security, institutions and regional cooperation for ten years".
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