Poll: Iraqis oppose oil privatization.

The poll is hardly surprising. I wonder if there is less opposition in Kurdistan? It is ironic that in promoting democracy in Iraq that the US is pressing for passage of the oil law as one of the benchmarks of progress while a majority of Iraqis oppose the law.

ZNet | Iraq

Poll: Iraqis Oppose Oil Privatization

by Steve Kretzmann; Oil Change International; August 10, 2007

Iraqis oppose plans to open the country’s oilfields to foreign investment by a factor of two to one, according to a poll released today. Iraqis are united in this view: there are no ethnic, sectarian or geographical groups that prefer foreign companies.

The poll also finds that most Iraqis feel kept in the dark about the oil plans – with fewer than a quarter feeling adequately informed about a proposed new law to govern Iraq’s oil sector.

This poll is the first time ordinary Iraqis have been asked their views on the contents of the oil law, which has been debated by Iraqi political parties for over a year. The US government is pressing Baghdad to pass the oil law by September, as one of its “benchmarks”. [1]

At the centre of the oil law is a proposal to give multinational oil companies such as Conoco, Chevron and Exxon the primary role in developing Iraq’s oilfields, under contracts of up to 30 years.

Yet 63% of poll respondents said they would prefer Iraq’s oil to be developed and produced by Iraqi public sector companies rather than foreign companies, with 32% of those indicating a strong preference. Only 10% strongly preferred foreign companies, and 21% moderately.

Only 4% of Iraqis feel they have been given ‘totally adequate’ information for them to feel informed about the oil law. A further 20% describe information provision as ‘somewhat adequate’, and 76% as inadequate.

According to the analytical report, by Custom Strategic Research [2]:

“The lack of credible information on the content and consequences of the draft Oil Law and on the debate surrounding the future of Iraq’s oil resources is likely to undercut the legitimacy of both the process and any law that it ultimately produces” and

“Any law that appears to favor foreign companies at the expense of indigenous firms is likely to meet with significant resistance on the Iraqi street.”

The lack of information is especially significant, given that those most informed about the oil law plans are the strongest opponents. Last month, more than 100 of Iraq’s most senior oil experts wrote to the parliament, calling for changes to the oil law. Meanwhile, workers in the oil sector have been consistently critical of the law. [3]

“The Bush Administration and Congress need to recognize that virtually all sectors of Iraqi society are opposed to the proposed oil law, and immediately cease pressure on the Iraqi government to pass it. Passage of the current draft law will only serve to fuel strong suspicions that access to and control of Iraqi oil was the reason for the war and the occupation” said Steve Kretzmann, Executive Director of Oil Change International.

The survey was commissioned by a group of development and human rights organisations, including Oil Change International, the Institute for Policy Studies, War on Want and PLATFORM. [4]

While critics suspect the USA’s real motivation is the contracts for American and international companies, US officials have stated that they see the law as a reconciliation measure, designed to unite Iraq’s ethnic and sectarian groups in a common vision of how to develop their oil.

Ironically, the law has indeed united Iraqis – in opposition to the privatization proposals.

The poll was carried out in June and July by KA Research, and coordinated and analysed by Custom Strategic Research. It was based on face-to-face interviews with 2,200 Iraqis in all 18 provinces.


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