Showing posts with label Venezuelan oil policy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Venezuelan oil policy. Show all posts

Saturday, May 25, 2019

Venezuela funnels oil money through Rosneft to avoid US sanctions

Venezuela's president Nicolas Maduro is funneling funds from the sale of Venezuelan oil through the Russian state energy giant Rosneft. This avoids the sanctions the US has designed to economically cripple Venezuela and drive Maduro from power.

How the system works

The Moscow Times describes how the system works: "Under the scheme uncovered by Reuters, Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA has started passing invoices from its oil sales to Rosneft. The Russian energy giant pays PDVSA immediately at a discount to the sale price – avoiding the usual 30-to-90 day timeframe for completing oil transactions – and collects the full amount later from the buyer, according to the documents and sources. "PDVSA is delivering its accounts receivable to Rosneft," said a source at the Venezuelan state firm with knowledge of the deals, who spoke on condition of anonymity for fear of retaliation."
The sales are the latest sign of the growing dependence of Venezuela's cash-strapped government on Russia. As the US tries to uses economic warfare against Venezuela it is only natural that Venezuela will be driven into the waiting arms of Russia. The US is responsible in effect for the increasing presence of Russia in Venezuela. China will be interested in developing closer relations with Venezuela too as this anti-Maduro article notes.
Venezuela's economy was already suffering from years of depression with a sharp decline in oil production and oil prices. It had been struggling to finance imports and government spending. Washington has added to Venezuela's problem by waging what is in effect economic warfare on the state. There were tough restrictions placed on the state oil company PDVSA in January this year, added to the sanctions and other measures the US has taken.
As a recent Digital Journal report notes US economic warfare now involves sanctioning the Venezuelan Central Bank: "Treasury is designating the Central Bank of Venezuela to prevent it from being used as a tool of the illegitimate Maduro regime, which continues to plunder Venezuelan assets and exploit government institutions to enrich corrupt insiders," Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said in a statement that accompanied Bolton's speech."
Oil exports crucial for Venezuelan economy

Oil makes up more than 90 percent of exports from Venezuela , a member of OPEC. Income from oil exports constitutes the majority of the state's income. Maduro is right when he accuses the US of waging economic warfare against Venezuela. It is.
This his forced Maduro to try and use US adversaries to circumvent US actions especially a ban on clients paying PDVSA in dollars. Maduro has been in talks with Russia to get around the ban since January. Russia has publicly condemned the US actions as illegal and said it would work with Venezuela to get around them.
Major buyers of Venezuelan oil such as India's Reliance Industries PDVSA's largest cash-paying client has been asked to take part in the scheme by paying Rosneft for its oil. Perhaps the US will now sanction banks dealing with Rosneft. Rosneft did not reply to a request for comment. Venezuela' oil ministry and its information ministry did not respond either.
Russia has a large steak in Venezuela oil
Russia loaned Venezuela almost $16 billion since 2006. The loans are being repaid in oil shipments. Russia has also taken significant stakes in petroleum products. The unusual payment arrangement with Rosneft is one of a series of devices the Maduro government has adopted to obtain cash. This has included selling off Central Bank gold reserves. The UK has refused the Venezuelan government access to its own funds and the US is also keeping Venezuela from its own cash as described in a January Digital Journal article. However, US officials are frustrated at Maduro's ability to counter some of the US economic warfare features. Officials had been hoping for a more dramatic impact that would result in the overthrow of Maduro and the success of their coup with leader Juan Guaido.
Economic warfare has created a crisis in Venezuela

Many western countries have joined in support of the US attempted coup although the UN still recognizes the Maduro regime and agencies such as the Red Cross are working with the Maduro government. Russia, China, Cuba, and others have defended Maduro at the UN. They have provided assistance as well with Russia providing military assistance. This has riled up the US. The US has its own policies to blame for resulting in Russian and Chinese investment in Venezuela which has resulted in their strong support for Maduro. Venezuelan oil exports have halved from the 2.8 million barrels per day when former president Hugo Chavez launched his revolution two decades ago.
Yet the Venezuelan people have so far been able to resist US aggression and fend off the attempted coup. Russia has been a big help in making this possible much to the annoyance of the US.
Rosneft playing a key role in Venezuelan oil
Rosneft has been a key investor in Venezuelan oil. In February of this year, Rosneft estimated its stakes in Venezuelan projects at $2.11 billion. Now Rosneft is also helping by providing cash that will keep PDVSA operational. It can use its large trading division to give it the flexibility to collect from PDVSA clients.
Some within PDVSA are angry with the costs of dealing with Rosneft according to a source, anonymous of course: "Rosneft is buying our oil for cheap and selling us very expensive fuel in exchange. We always owe them money." The PDVSA really has no choice if it wants to exports its oil at all. Why does the source not mention US sanctions as a factor. Without US sanctions Rosneft would not be able to do what it is doing. It would be uneconomical.
The US feels it has some right under the Monroe doctrine to itself exploit Venezuelan oil. While it believes its policies will force Venezuela to return to the arms of the United States it is actually forcing Venezuela into the arms of Russia and China.


Previously published in the Digital Journal

Saturday, May 19, 2007

Venezuela: Oil Production

With rising prices it may not be a bad idea not to deplete reserves very quickly. The oil in the ground will be worth more later. However, perhaps Venezuela is using surplus funds for social projects instead of employing adequate amounts for re-investment in oil production. As the article notes it is not investing at the rates of other state owned companies.

http://www.thedialogue.org/publications/2006/winter/arriagada.pdf>
Petropolitics in Latin America
A Review of Energy Policy and Regional Relations
Genaro Arriagada

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Stagnant production: While Venezuela has vast reserves, it has not
raised production levels.The UN Economic Commission for Latin America
and the Caribbean (ECLAC) reports that Venezuela's gross domestic
product (GDP) grew 17.9 percent in 2004, a rebound from the severe
downturn of 2002 and 2003. Estimates for 2005 set growth at about 9.3
percent. However, ECLAC also adds that "…expected GDP growth will not
come from oil production, which has yet to recover to pre–strike
levels as a result of insufficient investment. These factors have led
Venezuela to produce at levels below OPEC ceilings. Sector strength
will depend exclusively on world price increases, as […] capacity for
expanded production remains
extremely limited." Assessing how much production has fallen is
difficult without reliable PDVSA figures. While the company says
production has returned to 2000 and 2001 levels -- about 3.1 million
barrels per day (bpd) -- independent reports estimate that it did not
exceed 2.7 million bpd.

Investment: To maintain current output, Venezuela's oil industry
requires considerable annual investment, especially in exploration and
production. Evidence indicates that PDVSA investment falls
significantly short of these minimum levels. PDVSA's plan for
2005-2010 calls for investing $6.3 billion from public sources and an
extra $2.5 billion from private sources. While no official figures are
available, 2005 estimates indicate that slightly over half the PDVSA
target will be reached, less than $3.5 billion. Private investment is
also predicted to fall short of
the target due to uncertainty about foreign property rights and
investment policy. These
estimates indicate that oil output will continue to slide or, at best,
remain at current levels. PDVSA investment falls short of the
investment levels of other state-owned regional oil companies.
Estimates show that PEMEX, the state-owned Mexican petroleum company,
invested more than twice as much as PDVSA in 2003. The Brazilian
state-owned oil company, Petrobras, invested over 150 percent more. It
recently announced annual investments of $12 billion through the year
2010 -- more than three times as much as PDVSA.
--

Saturday, April 7, 2007

Venezuela and Canada: Two models of oil development

Ralph Klein is not the premier of Alberta. He hasn't been since early last December. The premier is Ed Stelmach.
This is an interesting article. The new Alberta premier is following the same policy path as Ralph Klein for the most part. There are some alternative energy projects in Alberta. There is quite a bit of wind generated power in the foothills of the Rockies where wind conditions are good for generation.
The situation in Canada is somewhat constrained by the fact that resources are under provincial control. Alberta has always been sort of a Texas north and US oil has always been a big player in Alberta politics.
Trudeau infuriated Alberta with his National Energy Policy. I don't think that it is true that the west as a whole was alienated by the policy. It was mainly Alberta.
Anyway as mentioned NAFTA has also constrained the development of a national energy policy. NAFTA gave the US the same right to our resources as Canadians and makes it virtually impossible to nationalise oil companies. We would be required under NAFTA to compensate all the companies involved for lost profits.
I don't know why the author does not mention that.
He could also have noted that prime minister Stephen Harper is an Albertan and great admirer of the US. He is against increased power for the federal govt. except to buy military toys to be used to help the US in its empire building. In fact the direction of Canadian politics is towards dismantling national programs. A national child care program painfully worked out by the provinces was sabotaged by Harper. He is now cosy with Quebec autonomists(ADQ) and is buying them off through transferring federal funds to Quebec. Although the separatist PQ lost seats in the Quebec federal election the minority Liberal govt. of Charest represents a very weak federalist option. Harper is happy with both---Charest is himself a former Conservative and the ADQ is right wing on social issues just as Harper.
---
>
>
> To Sow the Oil, or Give it Away?
>
> Canada and Venezuela are pursuing very different oil
> policies. In the
> war of the wells, whose investment will bring the
> biggest return?
>
> by Jonah Gindin; Alberta Views; December 04, 2006
>
> With the recent surge in oil prices, long-standing
> debates about
> Canadian and Albertan oil policy have been infused
> with new vigour. Is
> Canada getting the most out of this precious natural
> resource? What
> are we doing with our wealth?
>
> Canada and Venezuela represent the most important
> sources of oil
> outside the Middle East -- and as heavy oil
> extraction methods
> improve, they may surpass even that black-gold mine.
> But their
> approaches to oil revenue could not be more
> different.
>
> Venezuela's oil industry was very similar to
> Alberta's in the early-
> to mid-1990s, when US-promoted neo-liberalism --
> "free trade" and the
> privatization and deregulation of the oil industry
> -- was implemented.
> But when the controversial yet popular Hugo Chávez
> was elected in
> 1998, Venezuela embarked on a transformative
> experiment,
> "re-nationalizing" the state oil company. With the
> country's oil-based
> income increasing exponentially, Venezuela has
> invested heavily in
> social programs. According to the Venezuelan
> National Statistics
> Institute, poverty rates have declined from 49 to 37
> per cent since
> Chávez assumed office. The Chávez administration has
> presented a
> serious challenge to neo-liberalism in Latin America
> by developing a
> social-democratic model with a sharp revolutionary
> edge. This process
> was made possible by Chávez's successful
> mobilization of poor
> Venezuelans into a mass movement.
>
> Canada's oil sector is highly regionalized, with
> royalty rates and the
> bulk of corporate taxes set and collected at the
> provincial level.
> Alberta Premier Ralph Klein has pursued
> diametrically different
> policies than Chávez. Despite its business-friendly
> approach, the
> Klein government has presided over huge surpluses
> over the past few
> years. Nevertheless, though social spending has
> increased marginally
> over this period, it remains below the level it
> reached in 1993 before
> being slashed by Klein.
>
> Were Alberta to begin demanding a bigger piece of
> the oil-revenue pie,
> would it end up being invested in the public good?
> Would it inspire
> (or require) popular mobilization along the lines of
> the Venezuelan
> experience?
>
> Two Models
>
> From the birth of the Canadian and Venezuelan oil
> industries in the
> early 20th century to the late 1990s, the policies
> in both countries
> followed similar trajectories. Up until the 1973
> OPEC oil shock, both
> oil industries were increasingly dominated by
> foreign corporations,
> most of them American.
>
> As happened in many other OPEC countries as a result
> of the crisis,
> then-President of Venezuela Carlos Andrés Peréz
> nationalized the oil
> industry in 1975, creating state-run oil company
> Petroleos de
> Venezuela S. A. (PDVSA). Venezuela pursued a series
> of nationalist
> policies during the late seventies and early
> eighties, investing oil
> revenues in a a slew of ill-conceived development
> projects.
> Ultimately, these were doomed by poor planning,
> arrogance and the
> misconception that everlasting high oil rents would
> provide permanent
> subsidies.
>
> Venezuela experienced a country-wide depression for
> much of the 1980s,
> as oil wealth was replaced by foreign debt. By 1989,
> at the behest of
> the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the US
> Treasury Department,
> the government implemented the Apertura
> Petrolera—the "oil opening."
> While PDVSA technically remained state-run, the
> industry was opened up
> to external investment under extremely generous
> conditions, quickly
> becoming dominated (once again) by foreign
> multinationals. PDVSA
> itself came under the control of a technocratic
> elite, eventually
> becoming known as a "state within a state" for its
> viciously defended
> autonomy from the Venezuelan government. It resisted
> government
> oversight through "internationalization" --
> investing oil rents in
> overseas ventures to avoid transferring the money to
> the government.
>
> Though not an OPEC member, Canada also founded a
> state-run oil
> company, Petro-Canada, in 1975, during the first
> Trudeau government.
> In 1980 the federal government implemented the
> National Energy Program
> (NEP), despite fervent opposition from Western
> Canada. The NEP
> expanded the role of Petro-Canada, gave preferential
> treatment to
> Canadian oil producers, and by fixing domestic
> prices sought to brace
> Canada's industrial east from the terrifying jumps
> in the
> international price of oil.
>
> In 1984, however, Brian Mulroney won the federal
> election campaigning
> against the NEP, heralding the rise of an emboldened
> regionalism and
> the end of nationalist oil politics in Canada. The
> signing of the
> North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)
> effectively enshrined
> Canada as an energy satellite of the US, making it
> exceedingly
> difficult for Albertan or Canadian governments to
> serve the province
> or the country's energy needs until the US had been
> served first. In
> 1990, the Mulroney government declared its intention
> to privatize
> Petro-Canada, a process completed under Chrétien in
> 2004.
>
> Bolivarian Venezuela: Renationalization and Rebirth
>
> A former colonel who led a failed coup against a
> corrupt and
> repressive government in 1992, Hugo Chávez was
> democratically elected
> in 1998 with a mandate to overhaul Venezuelan
> society. Realizing his
> most important campaign promise, he called a
> Constituent Assembly to
> rewrite the Venezuelan Constitution. Over the past
> seven years,
> Venezuela has seen a truly impressive number of
> elections, plebiscites
> and referendums. All told, Venezuelans have voted 11
> times since
> electing Chávez in 1998. Once key political reforms
> were passed
> through the ratification of the new Bolivarian
> Constitution (named
> after of Simón Bolívar, the 19th-century
> independence leader), the
> Chávez government proceeded with a series of more
> profound changes
> aimed at addressing the country's most glaring
> contradiction: oil
> wealth has made Venezuela one of the region's
> wealthiest countries,
> but poverty rates have been brought below 50 per
> cent only in the last
> two years.
>

Venezuela and Canada: Two models of oil development

Ralph Klein is not the premier of Alberta. He hasn't been since early last December. The premier is Ed Stelmach.
This is an interesting article. The new Alberta premier is following the same policy path as Ralph Klein for the most part. There are some alternative energy projects in Alberta. There is quite a bit of wind generated power in the foothills of the Rockies where wind conditions are good for generation.
The situation in Canada is somewhat constrained by the fact that resources are under provincial control. Alberta has always been sort of a Texas north and US oil has always been a big player in Alberta politics.
Trudeau infuriated Alberta with his National Energy Policy. I don't think that it is true that the west as a whole was alienated by the policy. It was mainly Alberta.
Anyway as mentioned NAFTA has also constrained the development of a national energy policy. NAFTA gave the US the same right to our resources as Canadians and makes it virtually impossible to nationalise oil companies. We would be required under NAFTA to compensate all the companies involved for lost profits.
I don't know why the author does not mention that.
He could also have noted that prime minister Stephen Harper is an Albertan and great admirer of the US. He is against increased power for the federal govt. except to buy military toys to be used to help the US in its empire building. In fact the direction of Canadian politics is towards dismantling national programs. A national child care program painfully worked out by the provinces was sabotaged by Harper. He is now cosy with Quebec autonomists(ADQ) and is buying them off through transferring federal funds to Quebec. Although the separatist PQ lost seats in the Quebec federal election the minority Liberal govt. of Charest represents a very weak federalist option. Harper is happy with both---Charest is himself a former Conservative and the ADQ is right wing on social issues just as Harper.
---
>
>
> To Sow the Oil, or Give it Away?
>
> Canada and Venezuela are pursuing very different oil
> policies. In the
> war of the wells, whose investment will bring the
> biggest return?
>
> by Jonah Gindin; Alberta Views; December 04, 2006
>
> With the recent surge in oil prices, long-standing
> debates about
> Canadian and Albertan oil policy have been infused
> with new vigour. Is
> Canada getting the most out of this precious natural
> resource? What
> are we doing with our wealth?
>
> Canada and Venezuela represent the most important
> sources of oil
> outside the Middle East -- and as heavy oil
> extraction methods
> improve, they may surpass even that black-gold mine.
> But their
> approaches to oil revenue could not be more
> different.
>
> Venezuela's oil industry was very similar to
> Alberta's in the early-
> to mid-1990s, when US-promoted neo-liberalism --
> "free trade" and the
> privatization and deregulation of the oil industry
> -- was implemented.
> But when the controversial yet popular Hugo Chávez
> was elected in
> 1998, Venezuela embarked on a transformative
> experiment,
> "re-nationalizing" the state oil company. With the
> country's oil-based
> income increasing exponentially, Venezuela has
> invested heavily in
> social programs. According to the Venezuelan
> National Statistics
> Institute, poverty rates have declined from 49 to 37
> per cent since
> Chávez assumed office. The Chávez administration has
> presented a
> serious challenge to neo-liberalism in Latin America
> by developing a
> social-democratic model with a sharp revolutionary
> edge. This process
> was made possible by Chávez's successful
> mobilization of poor
> Venezuelans into a mass movement.
>
> Canada's oil sector is highly regionalized, with
> royalty rates and the
> bulk of corporate taxes set and collected at the
> provincial level.
> Alberta Premier Ralph Klein has pursued
> diametrically different
> policies than Chávez. Despite its business-friendly
> approach, the
> Klein government has presided over huge surpluses
> over the past few
> years. Nevertheless, though social spending has
> increased marginally
> over this period, it remains below the level it
> reached in 1993 before
> being slashed by Klein.
>
> Were Alberta to begin demanding a bigger piece of
> the oil-revenue pie,
> would it end up being invested in the public good?
> Would it inspire
> (or require) popular mobilization along the lines of
> the Venezuelan
> experience?
>
> Two Models
>
> From the birth of the Canadian and Venezuelan oil
> industries in the
> early 20th century to the late 1990s, the policies
> in both countries
> followed similar trajectories. Up until the 1973
> OPEC oil shock, both
> oil industries were increasingly dominated by
> foreign corporations,
> most of them American.
>
> As happened in many other OPEC countries as a result
> of the crisis,
> then-President of Venezuela Carlos Andrés Peréz
> nationalized the oil
> industry in 1975, creating state-run oil company
> Petroleos de
> Venezuela S. A. (PDVSA). Venezuela pursued a series
> of nationalist
> policies during the late seventies and early
> eighties, investing oil
> revenues in a a slew of ill-conceived development
> projects.
> Ultimately, these were doomed by poor planning,
> arrogance and the
> misconception that everlasting high oil rents would
> provide permanent
> subsidies.
>
> Venezuela experienced a country-wide depression for
> much of the 1980s,
> as oil wealth was replaced by foreign debt. By 1989,
> at the behest of
> the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the US
> Treasury Department,
> the government implemented the Apertura
> Petrolera—the "oil opening."
> While PDVSA technically remained state-run, the
> industry was opened up
> to external investment under extremely generous
> conditions, quickly
> becoming dominated (once again) by foreign
> multinationals. PDVSA
> itself came under the control of a technocratic
> elite, eventually
> becoming known as a "state within a state" for its
> viciously defended
> autonomy from the Venezuelan government. It resisted
> government
> oversight through "internationalization" --
> investing oil rents in
> overseas ventures to avoid transferring the money to
> the government.
>
> Though not an OPEC member, Canada also founded a
> state-run oil
> company, Petro-Canada, in 1975, during the first
> Trudeau government.
> In 1980 the federal government implemented the
> National Energy Program
> (NEP), despite fervent opposition from Western
> Canada. The NEP
> expanded the role of Petro-Canada, gave preferential
> treatment to
> Canadian oil producers, and by fixing domestic
> prices sought to brace
> Canada's industrial east from the terrifying jumps
> in the
> international price of oil.
>
> In 1984, however, Brian Mulroney won the federal
> election campaigning
> against the NEP, heralding the rise of an emboldened
> regionalism and
> the end of nationalist oil politics in Canada. The
> signing of the
> North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)
> effectively enshrined
> Canada as an energy satellite of the US, making it
> exceedingly
> difficult for Albertan or Canadian governments to
> serve the province
> or the country's energy needs until the US had been
> served first. In
> 1990, the Mulroney government declared its intention
> to privatize
> Petro-Canada, a process completed under Chrétien in
> 2004.
>
> Bolivarian Venezuela: Renationalization and Rebirth
>
> A former colonel who led a failed coup against a
> corrupt and
> repressive government in 1992, Hugo Chávez was
> democratically elected
> in 1998 with a mandate to overhaul Venezuelan
> society. Realizing his
> most important campaign promise, he called a
> Constituent Assembly to
> rewrite the Venezuelan Constitution. Over the past
> seven years,
> Venezuela has seen a truly impressive number of
> elections, plebiscites
> and referendums. All told, Venezuelans have voted 11
> times since
> electing Chávez in 1998. Once key political reforms
> were passed
> through the ratification of the new Bolivarian
> Constitution (named
> after of Simón Bolívar, the 19th-century
> independence leader), the
> Chávez government proceeded with a series of more
> profound changes
> aimed at addressing the country's most glaring
> contradiction: oil
> wealth has made Venezuela one of the region's
> wealthiest countries,
> but poverty rates have been brought below 50 per
> cent only in the last
> two years.
>

US will bank Tik Tok unless it sells off its US operations

  US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said during a CNBC interview that the Trump administration has decided that the Chinese internet app ...